All that “In like a lion, out like a lamb” or vice-versa talk about March, as a scientist, always makes me cringe. Because it is based on subjective opinion and not objective analysis. That leaves it open to observational bias and a slew of other issues. So, I will ask as a friend and your local, friendly, neighborhood meteorologist, to… Read more →
As we look toward the weekend an area of low pressure, with a batch of cold air aloft will slide from New Mexico and west Texas across the southeast. It will open the door for showers and storms – some severe – to develop across Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, the Florida Panhandle, and Tennessee. The Storm Prediction Center is keeping a… Read more →
Usually, clearing one hurdle at a time is the best way to handle weather, but in this case, it is important to jump on this before the preoccupation with flooding leads to a missed opportunity to warn about the threat for more severe weather. The Setup A cut-off Low lifts out of Texas and into Mississippi and Tennessee as a… Read more →
Here is an update from the Storm Prediction Center in Norman, Oklahoma: DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0701 AM CST TUE FEB 02 2016 VALID 021300Z – 031200Z …THERE IS AN ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PARTS MS…AL…TN…KY…AND SRN IND… …THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS SURROUNDING THE ENH AREA…FROM THE CNTRL… Read more →
Looking at the latest model data as well as the trends, it appears that the chance for showers, storms and some severe weather appears to be right on track with previous forecasts – with a slight shift. The a deepening area of low pressure moves from SW Kansas and into SW Wisconsin, it will open the door for thunderstorms to… Read more →
