Severe Weather Discussions

Severe Weather Discussions

WPC concerned about flash flooding for Mississippi

VALID 191456Z – 191811Z SUMMARY…ONGOING CONVECTION/CELL MERGERS WITHIN INCREASINGLY MOIST ENVIRONMENT WILL LEAD TO ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF TWO TO THREE INCHES IN SOME LOCATIONS THROUGH 18Z…WITH SOME LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE. DISCUSSION…MID-MORNING RADAR MOSAIC SHOWED CONTINUED CONVECTION PRODUCING MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL…CENTERED JUST EAST OF A BATON ROUGE TO JACKSON LINE. LATEST WATER VAPOR IMAGERY DEPICTING A WELL DEFINED… Read more →

SPC Monitoring weekend storms in Southeast

SPC Monitoring weekend storms in Southeast

As we look toward the weekend an area of low pressure, with a batch of cold air aloft will slide from New Mexico and west Texas across the southeast. It will open the door for showers and storms – some severe – to develop across Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, the Florida Panhandle, and Tennessee. The Storm Prediction Center is keeping a… Read more →

Tornado Watch Likely for Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama

Tornado Watch Likely for Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama

From the SPC: Probability of Watch Issuance…95 percent SUMMARY…The threat for damaging wind and a few tornadoes is expected to increase from southeast Louisiana through southern Mississippi into southwest Alabama from late morning into the afternoon. A tornado watch will likely be issued for this region by 17Z. DISCUSSION…This morning a coastal warm front extends from the FL Panhandle through… Read more →

1/2/17 10am Severe Weather Update: Latest model trends discussed

1/2/17 10am Severe Weather Update: Latest model trends discussed

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Good morning, everyone. Here is a brief breakdown of where we are… Timing Louisiana’s round one is moving through western Louisiana. Mississippi’s round one is moving through the Pine Belt. Alabama’s round one is moving through SW Alabama. Things are, for the most part, right on track. The first rounds of storms for Mississippi and Alabama have been below severe… Read more →

Latest from the Storm Prediction Center: January 2nd, 2017 as of 2am

Latest from the Storm Prediction Center: January 2nd, 2017 as of 2am

Most of the southern sections of Louisiana, Mississippi and Alabama are under an Enhanced Risk for severe weather, including a 5% Tornado risk. Here is the latest from the SPC: Low-level moistening is already underway with middle 60s surface dew points expected across much of Louisiana and the southern halves of Mississippi, Alabama, and Georgia by early afternoon. This combined… Read more →