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10/08/20 4PM NHC Update: Delta regains "Major Hurricane" strength

10/08/20 4PM NHC Update: Delta regains “Major Hurricane” strength

Nick Lilja Thursday, October 8, 2020 // 4:14 pm

SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT LOCATION…24.8N 93.4W ABOUT 345 MI…555 KM S OF CAMERON LOUISIANA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…115 MPH…185 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT…NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 12 MPH…19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…959 MB…28.32 INCHES FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 08/2100Z 24.8N 93.4W 100 KT 115 MPH 12H 09/0600Z 26.3N 93.9W 110 KT 125 MPH 24H 09/1800Z 28.6N 93.5W 105… Read more →

Posted in Archive, Forecasting, Tropics | Tagged 2020 Atlantic hurricane Season, Delta, Hurricane Delta, NHC, Tropical Weather, tropics, weather
10/8/20 10AM Update: After a night of reorganization, Delta intensifying

10/8/20 10AM Update: After a night of reorganization, Delta intensifying

Nick Lilja Thursday, October 8, 2020 // 10:09 am

Y’all. I get it. I’m tired of these things, too. If you think you’re getting tired of reading about the threat from a hurricane or tropical storm, you can’t imagine how I feel about writing about the threat for hurricanes and tropical storms. When this season ends, I’m going to need two glasses of wine. You know, the types of… Read more →

Posted in Archive, Forecasting, Tropics | Tagged 2020 Atlantic hurricane Season, Delta, Gulf Coast Weather, Hurricane Delta, Tropical Weather, tropics, weather
10/8/20 Early AM Update: Hurricane Delta continues strengthening, moving toward Gulf Coast

10/8/20 Early AM Update: Hurricane Delta continues strengthening, moving toward Gulf Coast

Nick Lilja Thursday, October 8, 2020 // 1:08 am

Hurricane Delta is in, what I’ve often called, a “primo environment.” That is to say, it has warm water and low shear, so it is free to organize and strengthen without predictable physics getting in the way. The no-longer-Category-4 Hurricane may be a “shell” of its former self in terms of top-end wind speed, but it has gained a lot… Read more →

Posted in Archive, Forecasting, Tropics | Tagged 2020 Atlantic hurricane Season, Delta, Hurricane Delta, NHC, Tropical Weather, tropics, weather
10/7/20 4PM Update: Hurricane Delta reorganizing, moving toward Gulf Coast

10/7/20 4PM Update: Hurricane Delta reorganizing, moving toward Gulf Coast

Nick Lilja Wednesday, October 7, 2020 // 4:18 pm

SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT LOCATION…22.1N 89.5W ABOUT 55 MI…90 KM NNE OF PROGRESO MEXICO ABOUT 580 MI…935 KM SSE OF CAMERON LOUISIANA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…85 MPH…140 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT…NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 17 MPH…28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…977 MB…28.85 INCHES FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 07/2100Z 22.1N 89.5W 75 KT 85 MPH 12H 08/0600Z 23.2N 91.2W 85… Read more →

Posted in Archive, Forecasting, Tropics | Tagged 2020 Atlantic hurricane Season, Delta, Gulf Coast Weather, Hurricane Delta, Tropical Weather, tropics, weather
10/7/20 12PM Update: Hurricane Delta track shifts west after pummeling Yucatan peninsula

10/7/20 12PM Update: Hurricane Delta track shifts west after pummeling Yucatan peninsula

Nick Lilja Wednesday, October 7, 2020 // 11:54 am

Hurricane Delta is beginning to emerge back over water and into the Gulf of Mexico today. The once-Category 4 storm is now back down to a Category 2 Hurricane. Given all of the moving pieces, it looks like the “strike zone” for a Gulf Coast landfall has shifted a bit to the west overnight. For folks along the Gulf Coast… Read more →

Posted in Archive, Forecasting, Tropics | Tagged 2020 Atlantic hurricane Season, Delta, Gulf Coast Weather, Hurricane Delta, Tropical Weather, tropics, weather
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