Hurricane Delta is in, what I’ve often called, a “primo environment.” That is to say, it has warm water and low shear, so it is free to organize and strengthen without predictable physics getting in the way. The no-longer-Category-4 Hurricane may be a “shell” of its former self in terms of top-end wind speed, but it has gained a lot… Read more →
SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT LOCATION…22.1N 89.5W ABOUT 55 MI…90 KM NNE OF PROGRESO MEXICO ABOUT 580 MI…935 KM SSE OF CAMERON LOUISIANA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…85 MPH…140 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT…NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 17 MPH…28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…977 MB…28.85 INCHES FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 07/2100Z 22.1N 89.5W 75 KT 85 MPH 12H 08/0600Z 23.2N 91.2W 85… Read more →
Hurricane Delta is beginning to emerge back over water and into the Gulf of Mexico today. The once-Category 4 storm is now back down to a Category 2 Hurricane. Given all of the moving pieces, it looks like the “strike zone” for a Gulf Coast landfall has shifted a bit to the west overnight. For folks along the Gulf Coast… Read more →
The National Hurricane Center track has shifted to the west a bit – not much – but still includes Louisiana and most of Mississippi. From the NHC CURRENT OBSERVATIONS AS OF 4PM CT LOCATION…18.9N 84.1W ABOUT 215 MI…345 KM ESE OF COZUMEL MEXICO ABOUT 240 MI…385 KM ESE OF TULUM MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…145 MPH…230 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT…WNW OR 300… Read more →
Through most of the day yesterday, Hurricane Delta re-organized and intensified. It, steadily, grew from a Tropical Storm to a Category 2 Hurricane. This morning, it continues to strengthen and will likely make it to a Category 4 Hurricane now, before landfall with Mexico. The good news – if there is such a thing – is that this is a… Read more →
