Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Tue Jul 9 2019 For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. A broad low pressure area located over the Florida Panhandle and the far northeastern Gulf of Mexico is producing widespread but disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are conducive for development, and a… Read more →
Well, that didn’t take long did it? After a handful of models starting to come into agreement that something may develop off the east coast or in the Gulf, the scare-tactic posts have begun. In general, this post from yesterday still stands: However, we do have some new data to look at that may mean better chances for rain further… Read more →
Their words, not mine. That said, severe weather is looking more and more likely at this point for portions of Louisiana, Arkansas and Mississippi. The change? Not much has changed in the model data – just a slight drift to the southeast. But, the “big news” I suppose is that the Storm Prediction Center has shifted the Moderate Risk to… Read more →
FRIDAY 12:30PM UPDATE: It looks like the Storm Prediction Center is seeing similar things from the same data I show below and came to a similar consensus. The SPC has extended the Enhanced Risk area a bit to the east and south. And the Slight Risk was pushed east, too. ORIGINAL: Alrighty, friends, we are within the 48 hour window,… Read more →
From the SPC: …THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM FAR EAST TEXAS ACROSS NORTHERN LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN ARKANSAS INTO WEST-CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI… …SUMMARY… Numerous severe thunderstorms are expected across portions of east Texas, Louisiana, southern Arkansas, Mississippi and surrounding areas Saturday and Saturday night. …Synopsis… As an upper low/trough shifts northeastward across the Great Lakes into eastern Canada,… Read more →
