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A quick note about transparency, real information, and understanding an exponential curve

Nick Lilja Saturday, March 28, 2020 // 12:54 pm

I got this message today: And I thought, “I’m skeptical already, given the title… but let’s take a look.” In this case, the link was full of some interesting information. Visually, it presented the information in a digestible way. It was trying to re-frame this pandemic in a positive light: “Right now Coronavirus only kills 4 people for every million… Read more →

Posted in Archive, Education, Not Weather | Tagged Coronavirus, COVID-19, COVID19
South Mississippi severe threat Tuesday looks low-end, but not zero

South Mississippi severe threat Tuesday looks low-end, but not zero

Nick Lilja Saturday, March 28, 2020 // 10:10 am

Some good news to pass along this morning: The severe threat we have been monitoring for the past week, regarding this next Monday through Wednesday, is looking like more of a low-end threat based on the data collected this morning. I’ll say “Thank Goodness!” but I’ll also say, “Things can change, though.” For the past week – roughly – we… Read more →

Posted in Archive, Forecasting, Southeast Weather | Tagged hail, Mississippi Weather, rain, Severe Weather, Tornadoes, weather, Wind
3/27/20 PM Update: New Coronavirus numbers and new research has good news and bad news

3/27/20 PM Update: New Coronavirus numbers and new research has good news and bad news

Nick Lilja Friday, March 27, 2020 // 10:00 pm

Sadly, the numbers continue to rise. But know that experts (and basic mathematics) suggest that numbers will continue to rise even with social distancing and hand-washing hands due to the five to 14 day incubation period. Since the widespread effort began about 10 days ago, we should start to see things slow down in the coming days compared to where… Read more →

Posted in Archive, Education, Not Weather | Tagged Coronavirus, COVID-19, COVID19
Southeast faces severe weather threat next Tuesday / Wednesday

Southeast faces severe weather threat next Tuesday / Wednesday

Nick Lilja Friday, March 27, 2020 // 9:36 am

As if one this virus wasn’t enough, Mother Nature looked at the Calendar and remembered that it is still Spring. Looking at the latest data, there is still a chance for severe weather across parts of the Southeast and Gulf Coast next Tuesday and into Wednesday. An area of low pressure looks to close off and slide from West TExas… Read more →

Posted in Archive, Forecasting, Southeast Weather | Tagged Alabama Weather, Flooding, Georgia Weather, hail, Louisiana Weather, Mississippi Weather, rain, Severe Weather, Southeast weather, Tornadoes, weather, Wind
3/27/20 AM UPDATE: Morning Coronavirus number estimates

3/27/20 AM UPDATE: Morning Coronavirus number estimates

Nick Lilja Friday, March 27, 2020 // 7:37 am

A lot of people have been asking in recent weeks, “Just how many people are walking around, infected, without even knowing it? There could be thousands!” I kept racking my brain with a way to figure that out. Then I came across a research paper or two that highlighted, within a small, fully-tested, population, numbers for infected, non-infected and infected-but-asymptomatic…. Read more →

Posted in Archive, Education, Not Weather | Tagged Coronavirus, COVID-19, COVID19
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