The Storm Prediction Center has issued a Mesoscale Discussion suggesting there is a 95% chance the are will be put under a Watch – Tornado or Severe Thunderstorm, there isn’t any indication at this point. From the SPC: Surface analysis shows a weak east-west oriented boundary from TX into AL, with MUCAPE on the order of 1000 J/kg along and… Read more →
The last few runs of the HRRR computer weather model, coupled with the 00z HRW- suite of models, and the 00z NAM-3km computer weather model have me a bit more concerned with the threat for severe weather between 2am and 6am. Originally, the thought was 6am would be the beginning of the threat for sever weather as we waited for… Read more →
The Storm Prediction Center continues to monitor the region of the potential for severe weather. Latest model guidance continues to show the threat for storms and very – very! – heavy rainfall across the area during the day on Wednesday. The SPC has expanded the Slight Risk area to include a larger portion of South Mississippi. But, it isn’t –… Read more →
I made mention of this on twitter the other day. I’m starting to think this next system is going to be more of a rain event for south Mississippi…. — Nick Lilja (@NickLilja) March 1, 2020 And the trend I was picking up on seems to continue to lean in that direction. This is starting to look like more of… Read more →
That is a lot of words in the title, but there is also a lot happening in the weather during the Tuesday through Thursday timeframe for parts of the Gulf Coast. via GIPHY As an area of low pressure swings through the region, it will open the door for showers and storms to develop. Some of these storms could be… Read more →
