Truth is, I knew this. But, at times, I get lulled into a false sense of National-Weather-Service-security. The NWS has created quite the reputation of being pretty dependable over the past 15 years. Sometimes it is hard to remember a time when people were taking measurements by analogue thermometer, writing it in a diary, and reporting it to the local… Read more →
Wednesday will prove to be a very close call for the Northeast. Right now, models are very close to one another in terms of projected path and wind speeds, but differ in the amount of precipitation totals. The NAM, ECMWF, UKMET, GFS, CMC and SREF paint a very similar picture of an area of low pressure off the coast of… Read more →
Simpsons references aside, if you live west of Chicago and north of San Antonio, get the extra blankets out. The southern plains are about to get whalluped with cold air tonight. After the current system moves to the east, the clouds will begin to thin out and eventually clear in some areas meaning the area is primed for some sub-zero… Read more →
Update (12:05pm): It looks like the warm downsloping winds are eroding away at the cold air in some of the western and southwestern counties. Original Text (9:35am): Cold air doesn’t play any games. Or rather, perhaps it does? If it does play games, though, it rarely follows any rules. It just makes them up as it goes. And it often… Read more →
Scenario A quasi-zonal flow with a few embedded systems will keep the southern high plains active in the coming days. This will increase the “prospects for precip” in the coming week. In fact, a relatively, active pattern will emerge by Monday where the Texas and Oklahoma panhandles have a chance for moisture every other day. Right now, it appears that… Read more →
