As always, a reminder that I am not a doctor, nor am I a medical profesional. I do mathematics and statistics for a living. These posts are an attempt to give a plain-English update to the COVID-19 outbreak, grab the research behind some of the headlines, and present it all in an easy to digest way. Again, I am not… Read more →
Now that the severe weather has ended, I wanted to get back to updating everyone on the Coronavirus. During the past few days – since my last update – the numbers have climbed quite a bit. That isn’t surprising given that the growth rate is still along an exponential curve. Thankfully, it looks like Social Distancing tactics are working in… Read more →
As the model data continues to trickle in, the potential for some significant severe weather across parts of the Mid-South and Southeast is looking more likely. A lot of people are saying a “severe weather outbreak” is likely. While I’m not one to call an outbreak before an outbreak outbreaks… I can understand why people are choosing to use that… Read more →
As the next system continues to drift toward the region, there is increasing confidence that when it arrives it will bring significant severe weather with it. The Storm Prediction Center opted to keep – roughly – the same Moderate risk area for the southeast, but expanded the Enhanced Risk area and Slight Risk area. From the SPC …East TX northeastward… Read more →
As a system passes through the region, it will open the door for showers, storms and the potential for severe weather. Come to think of it, I say this in almost every post. But this is not an “every post” kind of system. This one looks pretty potent. A Moderate Risk is in place for parts of Louisiana, Arkansas, Mississippi… Read more →
