Some good news to pass along this morning: The severe threat we have been monitoring for the past week, regarding this next Monday through Wednesday, is looking like more of a low-end threat based on the data collected this morning. I’ll say “Thank Goodness!” but I’ll also say, “Things can change, though.” For the past week – roughly – we… Read more →
As if one this virus wasn’t enough, Mother Nature looked at the Calendar and remembered that it is still Spring. Looking at the latest data, there is still a chance for severe weather across parts of the Southeast and Gulf Coast next Tuesday and into Wednesday. An area of low pressure looks to close off and slide from West TExas… Read more →
The Storm Prediction Center has issued a Mesoscale Discussion suggesting there is a 95% chance the are will be put under a Watch – Tornado or Severe Thunderstorm, there isn’t any indication at this point. From the SPC: Surface analysis shows a weak east-west oriented boundary from TX into AL, with MUCAPE on the order of 1000 J/kg along and… Read more →
The last few runs of the HRRR computer weather model, coupled with the 00z HRW- suite of models, and the 00z NAM-3km computer weather model have me a bit more concerned with the threat for severe weather between 2am and 6am. Originally, the thought was 6am would be the beginning of the threat for sever weather as we waited for… Read more →
The Storm Prediction Center continues to monitor the region of the potential for severe weather. Latest model guidance continues to show the threat for storms and very – very! – heavy rainfall across the area during the day on Wednesday. The SPC has expanded the Slight Risk area to include a larger portion of South Mississippi. But, it isn’t –… Read more →
