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This afternoon is looking interesting, but not impressive, if you are a storm chaser. As an area of low pressure pushes into the four corners region it will help offer some lift our ahead of it. That means the chance for showers and storms in Texas, Oklahoma and Kansas.

The question will be how developed can these storms become. And how fast.

8z RAP Skew-T at 21z 5/8/13
8z RAP Skew-T for Amarillo (West of dry-line) at 21z 5/8/13

For places east of a line from Garden City, Kansas south to Turpin, Oklahoma and continuing to Paducah, Texas there is a chance for some afternoon showers and thunderstorms. Some of these storms could become severe.

The main threats for today are large hail and damaging winds. In fact hail stones in excess of two-inches (think egg-sized) could be seen across parts of western Oklahoma.

But that’s not all, we also have to worry about a tornado threat this afternoon. While the SPC has issued a 5-percent tornado risk, I feel like that might be edged back to just a 2-percent as we head toward the afternoon.

But even at 2-percent, I think a tornado will be seen somewhere today.

Status updated on Wednesday, May 8, 2013 // 3:50 am | Permalink

I’ll be out there… Who’s with me?

SPC Tornado Risk
Tornado Risk for May 8th, 2013 as of 4:00am
Image published on Wednesday, May 8, 2013 // 3:27 am | Permalink
High Plains rain chances... No, seriously!

High Plains rain chances… No, seriously!

Nick Lilja Monday, May 6, 2013 // 8:40 am

I know it feels like forever since the Texas and Oklahoma panhandles have received any rainfall. While it hasn’t been THAT long in the grand scheme of things it has been almost two full months since we received .10″ of rain or more. Seriously. Our last rainfall of .10″ or more was March, 8th. In fact, since the Blizzard of… Read more →

Posted in Archive, High Plains Weather | Tagged Amarillo weather, rain, Thunderstorms
High plains rain chances return

High plains rain chances return

Nick Lilja Thursday, April 25, 2013 // 3:04 am

Climatologically speaking late April means better chances for showers and storms across the high plains. So as a few disturbances move across the Texas panhandle, it’s important to keep an eye to the sky. Almost each of th next seven days shows the potential for a shower or storm. Quick Breakdown Today: Mostly cloudy conditions will prevail. Teh sun will… Read more →

Posted in Archive, High Plains Weather | Tagged Amarillo weather, rain, Storms
Severe weather anticipated across southern plains

Severe weather anticipated across southern plains

Nick Lilja Tuesday, April 16, 2013 // 10:56 am

Hail, high winds, tornadoes… And snow? The high plains, central plains and south plains are all bracing for another round of severe weather followed by another bout with Jack Frost. It’s like the uncle that won’t leave the Christmas party – winter is holding on, refusing to move. As an upper low pinwheels it’s way through the Great Basin and… Read more →

Posted in Archive, High Plains Weather, Midwest Weather, Storm Chasing | Tagged hail, Oklahoma Weather, Severe Thunderstorms, Tornadoes, Wind
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