This is probably the best way to describe my relationship with Hurricane Dorian. The now-Category 2 Hurricane is drifting toward Florida. Gaining some strength. Gaining a little predictability. Total transparency here: For the first few days, this thing was about as unpredictable a storm as I’ve attempted to forecast during my five years in Hattiesburg. And that’s not to say… Read more →
Hurricane Dorian ate some dry air overnight and that limited the amount of intensification. As the storm continues to drift NW it will eventually find an area of reduced shear and higher humidity and intensification will continue. Current stats: SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST…0900 UTC…INFORMATION ———————————————- LOCATION…20.5N 66.6W ABOUT 150 MI…240 KM NNW OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO ABOUT 425… Read more →
Alrighty, friends. So here is the deal, Tropical Storm Dorian is small(ish) and the models don’t seem to be doing a great job with the data. So expect (yes, expect) changes to this forecast. And expect those changes to be more than just ‘where will it be three or four days from now?’ but also ‘how strong will it be… Read more →
