MD 0257 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL…TORNADO WATCH LIKELY FOR SWRN MO…WRN AR…FAR ERN OK MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0257 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0918 AM CDT THU APR 03 2014 AREAS AFFECTED…SWRN MO…WRN AR…FAR ERN OK CONCERNING…SEVERE POTENTIAL…TORNADO WATCH LIKELY VALID 031418Z – 031515Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE…80 PERCENT SUMMARY…ELEVATED TSTMS MOVING ENEWD OUT OF ERN OK INTO NWRN AR AND… Read more →
The SPC is discussing the threat for severe weather this afternoon. The possibility of large hail, damaging winds and isolated tornadoes will be realized across parts of Arkansas, Missouri and other sections of the southern plains, southeast and Midwest.
Take a look:SPC Severe Weather Breakdown
MD 0256 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH POSSIBLE FOR NRN AND NERN TX INTO SERN OK MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0256 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0642 AM CDT THU APR 03 2014 AREAS AFFECTED…NRN AND NERN TX INTO SERN OK CONCERNING…SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH POSSIBLE VALID 031142Z – 031315Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE…40 PERCENT SUMMARY…STORMS DEVELOPING ACROSS N CENTRAL TX MAY POSE SOME HAIL… Read more →
MD 0255 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH UNLIKELY FOR SOUTHERN IL MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0255 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0624 AM CDT THU APR 03 2014 AREAS AFFECTED…SOUTHERN IL CONCERNING…SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH UNLIKELY VALID 031124Z – 031300Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE…20 PERCENT SUMMARY…LIMITED THREAT FOR A BRIEF/WEAK TORNADO OR TWO WITHIN THE ADVANCING QLCS MAY CONTINUE FOR A COUPLE OF HOURS…THOUGH WW… Read more →
As meteorologists look at today’s setup it is looking promising that severe weather will develop.
The main bulk of the severe action will be in parts of Missouri, Arkansas, western Tennessee and Kentucky and northern Louisiana.
There is also the threat for severe weather in the southernmost sections of Illinois, and northernmost sections of Mississippi.
The biggest threats for today are wind and hail. Both on the strong/large side of the spectrum.
Looking at the latest 6z RAP here are some of the severe weather indicators we’re watching:
CAPE: >2,000 J/kg
Helicity (0-1km): 75 – 200
EHI (0-3km): 1 – 3.5
LCL Heights: 800m – 1500m
Lifted Index: -3 – -10
All of these point to the potential for damaging winds, large hail and possible tornadoes.
