(NOTE: THIS POST WILL BE CONTINUALLY UPDATED FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS WITH NEW DATA AS IT IS AVAILABLE) 12:33a CST UPDATE: Mesoscale Analysis details Latest model data shows a nose of Mixed-Layer CAPE values around 1000 J/Kg around 4am for the SE counties of MS and SW of Alabama 11:52 CST UPDATE: Mesoscale Analysis details The latest details from… Read more →
From the SPC: Probability of Watch Issuance…95 percent SUMMARY…The threat for damaging wind and a few tornadoes is expected to increase from southeast Louisiana through southern Mississippi into southwest Alabama from late morning into the afternoon. A tornado watch will likely be issued for this region by 17Z. DISCUSSION…This morning a coastal warm front extends from the FL Panhandle through… Read more →
Good morning, everyone. Here is a brief breakdown of where we are… Timing Louisiana’s round one is moving through western Louisiana. Mississippi’s round one is moving through the Pine Belt. Alabama’s round one is moving through SW Alabama. Things are, for the most part, right on track. The first rounds of storms for Mississippi and Alabama have been below severe… Read more →
Looking toward Monday, the threat for severe weather returns to Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama. The Storm Prediction Center has issued an Enhanced Risk for severe weather – suggesting a 3 out of 5 on their five-tier severe weather scale. Generally, the timing puts storms in here starting as early as 11am, sticking around through 8pm. But that is likely going… Read more →
Good evening, everyone! Here is a quick update from the HRRR model and a quick discussion abotu what to expect. EDIT: I’m writing this while in the car as a passenger, so if Im a bit scatter-brained I apologize. I’ll try my best to keep this on track. Okay, here we go! First things first, what does the HRRR think… Read more →
