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Just how cold will the Gulf Coast get? Wait, really? THAT cold?

Just how cold will the Gulf Coast get? Wait, really? THAT cold?

Nick Lilja Tuesday, December 26, 2017 // 4:57 pm

Maybe, yeah. If you are a weather enthusiast you have probably read about the cold air that is going to cascade into the Lower 48 next week. You have probably also read about the lobe of cold that will slam into the south, too. If you are not a weather enthusiast and are just hearing about this… buckle up. The… Read more →

Posted in Archive, Forecasting, Southeast Weather | Tagged Alabama Weather, cold, freezing, ice, Louisiana Weather, Mississippi Weather, snow, Southeast weather, Texas Weather, weather, Wind Chill, Winter Weather
Christmas forecast explanation for south Mississippi: Why the last time it snowed does AND doesn't change the forecast for this time

Christmas forecast explanation for south Mississippi: Why the last time it snowed does AND doesn’t change the forecast for this time

Nick Lilja Tuesday, December 19, 2017 // 3:19 pm

We are still getting our arms around all of the data to offer an accurate Christmas forecast. But due to a major airmass change that is set to happen around Christmas Day, it is making it difficult. That airmass change is the reason that you see a lot of different stuff floating around social media or even hear from friends… Read more →

Posted in Archive, Forecasting, Southeast Weather | Tagged christmas weather, freezing rain, Mississippi Weather, sleet, snow, weather, White Christmas, Winter Weather
A snowy Mississippi recap: Learning for the next time

A snowy Mississippi recap: Learning for the next time

Nick Lilja Sunday, December 10, 2017 // 2:05 pm

Generally the area picked up between 3″ and 5″ of snow. A bit more than what we were thinking 24 hours ahead of the event. We forecast 1.5″ of snow while the local NWS office had 2″ of snow. That said, our totals were still less than the models that showed 7″ to 9″ across the area. A lot of… Read more →

Posted in Archive, Climate, Forecasting, Southeast Weather | Tagged cold, Mississippi Weather, sleet, snow, weather, Winter Weather
South Mississippi hype-free snowfall forecast

South Mississippi hype-free snowfall forecast

Nick Lilja Thursday, December 7, 2017 // 2:20 am

A decent model shift tonight may make snow-lovers a bit happier. That said, I’m not completely sold, yet. Because forecasting wintry weather in the South is tough. The proximity to the Gulf of Mexico makes accurate temperature forecasts troublesome – for humans and computers. Having a big bowl of 70-degree water right next to a massive push of arctic air… Read more →

Posted in Archive, Forecasting, Southeast Weather | Tagged freezing rain, ice, Mississippi Weather, rain, snow, weather, Winter Weather
Brief south Mississippi snowfall forecast

Brief south Mississippi snowfall forecast

Nick Lilja Wednesday, December 6, 2017 // 11:33 am | 1 Response

After digesting all of the data from the overnight and early morning models, and sneaking a peek at the unfinished data from the midday models, this is what the forecast looks like as of Wednesday, December 6th, 2017 at 10:30am for south Mississippi: Wednesday: Morning temperatures around 38 with morning showers and drizzle followed by more afternoon drizzle and light… Read more →

Posted in Archive, Forecasting, Southeast Weather | Tagged ice, Mississippi Weather, snow, weather, Winter Weather
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