As we wrote the other day, hurricane intensity is a tough thing to forecast. Even with localized wind shear around Matthew and only warm – but not extreemely warm – water under it, the storm grea overnight into a Category 3 storm. Here is the latest from the National Hurricane Center: Most of the forecast models indicate the storm will… Read more →
The National Hurricane Center again skipped the Depression stage and turned Invest 97L directly into Tropical Storm Matthew. Just like last time, this isn’t terribly uncommon. Or terribly common. It just is. So, now that we have Matthew, why should you care? What is in a name, right? Shakespeare was a smart guy, wasn’t he? In this case, a name… Read more →
000 FZNT24 KNHC 280208 OFFNT4 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1008 PM EDT TUE SEP 27 2016 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT…WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT… Read more →
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1215 PM CDT TUE SEP 27 2016 VALID 281200Z – 291200Z …NO CRITICAL AREAS… NO CHANGE NEEDED TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST /DISCUSSION BELOW/. ..MOSIER.. 09/27/2016 .PREV DISCUSSION… /ISSUED 0143 AM CDT TUE SEP 27 2016/ …SYNOPSIS… A MID/UPPER-LEVEL LOW WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT… Read more →
