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NOAA Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 282

NOAA Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 282

MD 0282 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH UNLIKELY FOR SW…WRN AND CNTRL NEBRASKA…ADJACENT NE COLORADO MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0282 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0632 PM CDT TUE MAR 29 2016 AREAS AFFECTED…SW…WRN AND CNTRL NEBRASKA…ADJACENT NE COLORADO CONCERNING…SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH UNLIKELY VALID 292332Z – 300130Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE…5 PERCENT SUMMARY…ONE OR TWO SEVERE STORMS /MOSTLY MARGINAL/ ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF… Read more →

Storm Prediction Center Mar 29, 2016 Afternoon Outlook

Storm Prediction Center Mar 29, 2016 Afternoon Outlook

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0242 PM CDT TUE MAR 29 2016 VALID 292000Z – 301200Z …THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA… …THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTHEAST COLORADO AND SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA… …SUMMARY… A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS… Read more →

NOAA Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 281

NOAA Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 281

MD 0281 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH UNLIKELY FOR CENTRAL/SOUTHERN FL MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0281 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1217 PM CDT TUE MAR 29 2016 AREAS AFFECTED…CENTRAL/SOUTHERN FL CONCERNING…SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH UNLIKELY VALID 291717Z – 291945Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE…20 PERCENT SUMMARY…ISOLATED SEVERE HAIL/WIND ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE FL PENINSULA. DISCUSSION…A MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER… Read more →

Gulf Coast severe weather timing: March 30-31, 2016

Gulf Coast severe weather timing: March 30-31, 2016

UPDATE 3/30/16 9:30AM: For the latest numbers / forecast for south Mississippi, click here ORIGINAL POST: The Storm Prediction Center has put Louisiana, Mississippi and Alabama under either a Slight Risk or Marginal Risk for severe weather both Wednesday and Thursday. While I don’t have time to get into the nerdy details here, if you are looking for that, head… Read more →

Storm Prediction Center Mar 29, 2016 Morning Outlook

Storm Prediction Center Mar 29, 2016 Morning Outlook

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0743 AM CDT TUE MAR 29 2016 VALID 291300Z – 301200Z …THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF SRN FL… …THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS… …SUMMARY… THE RISK FOR A COUPLE… Read more →