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NOAA Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 281

NOAA Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 281

MD 0281 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH UNLIKELY FOR CENTRAL/SOUTHERN FL MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0281 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1217 PM CDT TUE MAR 29 2016 AREAS AFFECTED…CENTRAL/SOUTHERN FL CONCERNING…SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH UNLIKELY VALID 291717Z – 291945Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE…20 PERCENT SUMMARY…ISOLATED SEVERE HAIL/WIND ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE FL PENINSULA. DISCUSSION…A MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER… Read more →

Gulf Coast severe weather timing: March 30-31, 2016

Gulf Coast severe weather timing: March 30-31, 2016

UPDATE 3/30/16 9:30AM: For the latest numbers / forecast for south Mississippi, click here ORIGINAL POST: The Storm Prediction Center has put Louisiana, Mississippi and Alabama under either a Slight Risk or Marginal Risk for severe weather both Wednesday and Thursday. While I don’t have time to get into the nerdy details here, if you are looking for that, head… Read more →

Storm Prediction Center Mar 29, 2016 Morning Outlook

Storm Prediction Center Mar 29, 2016 Morning Outlook

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0743 AM CDT TUE MAR 29 2016 VALID 291300Z – 301200Z …THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF SRN FL… …THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS… …SUMMARY… THE RISK FOR A COUPLE… Read more →

Storm Prediction Center Mar 29, 2016 Early Morning UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

Storm Prediction Center Mar 29, 2016 Early Morning UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1218 AM CDT TUE MAR 29 2016 VALID 291200Z – 301200Z …THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR SRN PORTIONS OF THE FL PENINSULA… …THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF SERN WY AND THE NEB PANHANDLE… …SUMMARY… THE… Read more →

Storm Prediction Center Mar 29, 2016 Evening Outlook

Storm Prediction Center Mar 29, 2016 Evening Outlook

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0736 PM CDT MON MAR 28 2016 VALID 290100Z – 291200Z …NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST… …SUMMARY… SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT FORECAST ACROSS THE UNITED STATES TONIGHT. TSTM ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY BE CONFINED TO TWO AREAS THIS EVENING/TONIGHT ACROSS THE CONUS. 1) ASCENT IN THE… Read more →