SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT LOCATION…19.5N 86.0W ABOUT 90 MI…145 KM SE OF COZUMEL MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…80 MPH…130 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT…NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 MPH…17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…981 MB…28.97 INCHES FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 26/2100Z 19.5N 86.0W 70 KT 80 MPH 12H 27/0600Z 20.5N 87.7W 75 KT 85 MPH 24H 27/1800Z 22.1N 89.9W 65… Read more →
We are still a bit too early in the game for specifics like, “XX town will see YY amount of rain” or “ZZ city will experience CC wind speed” but the forecast track and – to some extent – the potential strength of the storm are starting to be knowable given the data that is becoming available. Right now The… Read more →
I think I’m going to coin this the “L.I.I.” or “L2I” or “L-double-I” in the future. Landfall, Intensity and Impacts for/from Tropical Storm Zeta. This will be a breakdown of potentials and estimates for the system through the rest of this week based on the latest model guidance and trends. The NHC Forecast First I want to offer the official… Read more →
The title says it all. This will be a rather odd landfall-tropical-situation along the Gulf Coast. Because while the people who are in the direct path of this system will see the heavy rain, damaging wind, and tornado potential, others only 100 miles away may see almost nothing. All the while, a cold front is set to move through the… Read more →
The National Hurricane Center is very confident that Invest 95L will organize into a Tropical Depression, or perhaps even a Tropical Storm, by later today. The model guidance is starting to come into better agreement. The thought is, in general, that Invest 95L will lift north into the Gulf and then slide north toward the northern Gulf Coast as the… Read more →
